How this calculator works
This tool uses published weight loss data from the largest GLP-1 clinical trials to model a personalized weight loss curve over 24 months. For semaglutide, projections are derived from the STEP 1 trial (n=1,306), which showed a mean weight loss of 15.3% at 68 weeks. For tirzepatide, we use the SURMOUNT-1 trial (n=2,539), which demonstrated 20.9% average weight loss at 72 weeks on the highest approved dose.
Rather than a single endpoint, we map the loss curve across 24 months, reflecting the real-world pattern: faster loss in the titration phase (months 1–6), peak rate during maintenance (months 6–9), then a gradual plateau.
Clinical context: The "average" results shown here come from highly controlled trial conditions with structured diet and exercise support. Real-world results can be higher or lower depending on adherence, diet quality, dose level, and individual metabolism.
Semaglutide vs. Tirzepatide: What the data shows
Both medications work by mimicking gut hormones that regulate appetite. Tirzepatide activates two receptors (GLP-1 and GIP), while semaglutide activates one (GLP-1). In head-to-head analyses and cross-trial comparisons, tirzepatide consistently shows greater weight loss — but there are important trade-offs.
| Metric | Semaglutide (Wegovy) | Tirzepatide (Zepbound) |
|---|---|---|
| Avg. weight loss | ~15.3% | ~20.9% |
| Trial duration | 68 weeks | 72 weeks |
| Placebo loss | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Branded US price/mo | ~$1,350 (Wegovy) | ~$1,060 (Zepbound) |
| Compounded price/mo | $200–$400 | $250–$500 |
| FDA-approved for obesity | Yes (Wegovy) | Yes (Zepbound) |
Factors that affect your results
Dose titration speed
Both medications start at a low dose and increase every 4 weeks. Most weight loss occurs after reaching maintenance dose. Patients who titrate slowly (often to manage nausea) typically see delayed results in months 1–3 but similar long-term outcomes.
Diet quality
GLP-1 medications suppress appetite, but they don't eliminate the need for dietary choices. In STEP 1, all participants received structured dietary counseling. Studies comparing GLP-1 users with and without dietary support show approximately 4–6% additional weight loss with active diet management.
Exercise
Exercise has a modest additional effect on total weight loss with GLP-1 medications but a significant effect on body composition. Resistance training during GLP-1 use is particularly important to preserve lean muscle mass, as GLP-1-driven weight loss can include a higher proportion of muscle than other methods.
Starting BMI
People with higher starting BMIs tend to lose more absolute weight, though percentage loss is relatively consistent across BMI ranges. Those with metabolic conditions like insulin resistance or PCOS may respond differently.
Frequently asked questions
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